The Neocon Neanderthals at the Jamestown Foundation are running a somewhat triumphalist article by an apparently like-minded prof at the University of Haifa, suggesting that this means the end of military sales from Israel to China. The thinking is that this, in combination with the Pentagon’s veto of Israel’s sale of an airborne early warning (AEW) system to China several years ago, will effectively end Israel’s military sales to China.
This may well true. But there’s one problem.
As good as Israel’s military technology is, it’s not their most valuable military resource for China. China’s real military problems, after all, are not in the weapons systems: it’s in doctrine and training. And as anyone who has bothered to read a newspaper since knows, Israel’s doctrine and training have allowed that country to prevail in nearly every conflict it has fought, against enemies superior in numbers and armaments.
That is the true prize. And if Israel wants to build a closer relationship with China based on something other than agricultural technology, the only military coin it has left it its bag is its most valuable. Just try to regulate the conveyance of training and doctrine. How can you regulate the flow of advisors?
The U.S. has blundered. Better to let China have a few toys than the real prize.
And now, the PLA will be a stronger, smaller, more appropriately armed force because of it.